The Serie A Matchday 36 clash between Napoli and Genoa will take place on May 11 at the Diego Armando Maradona Stadium. Napoli vs. Genoa: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Napoli
Antonio Conte's side defeated Lecce 1-0 away in their last outing. As a result, Napoli secured their fourth consecutive victory in the league, extending their unbeaten run to nine matches (6 wins, 3 draws). Additionally, the team has not conceded a single goal in their last four Serie A encounters. The Neapolitans continue to lead the standings, maintaining a three-point gap over second-placed Inter. Notably, the club has conceded the fewest goals in the current championship (25).
- The team is unbeaten in their last nine home matches in Serie A (7 wins, 2 draws).
- The club has scored exactly one or two goals in 7 of their last 8 home league matches.
- Exactly two or three goals have been scored in Napoli's last eight home games in Serie A.
Predicted lineup for Napoli (3-5-2)
Alex Meret – Amir Rrahmani, Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Mathias Olivera – Giacomo Raspadori, André-Frank Zambo Anguissa, Stanislav Lobotka, Scott McTominay, Leonardo Spinazzola – Matteo Politano, Romelu Lukaku.
Defender Juan Jesus and forward David Neres will miss out due to injuries.
Genoa
Patrick Vieira's side suffered a 1-2 defeat at home to AC Milan in their last match. As a result, Genoa endured their third consecutive league defeat, marking their second such streak this season. However, the team managed to score for the first time in four Serie A matches. In the standings, Genoa sits in 13th place with 39 points. It is worth noting that Genoa has scored the fewest away goals in the current championship (11).
- The team is winless in their last nine away Serie A matches (4 draws, 5 losses).
- The club failed to score in 4 of their last 5 away league games.
- Genoa has conceded a maximum of one goal in their last six away Serie A matches.
Predicted lineup for Genoa (4-5-1)
Nicola Leali – Aaron Martin Caricol, Johan Vasquez, Brooke Norton-Cuffy, Koni De Winter – Morten Frendrup, Patrizio Masini, Morten Thorsby, Junior Messias, Stefano Sabelli – Andrea Pinamonti.
Midfielders Ruslan Malinovskyi and Fabio Miretti will be unavailable due to injuries.
Referee
Marco Piccinini (Italy)
Matches – 14 (Serie A, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 53;
Average yellow cards per match – 3.8;
Red cards shown – 0;
Average fouls per match – 24;
Penalties – 21%.
Napoli vs. Genoa: Match Prediction
Antonio Conte's side is strong at home, though they rarely score prolifically. The team emphasizes solid defense, resulting in low-scoring games: in 12 of their last 13 home Serie A matches, Napoli did not score more than twice, and on seven occasions, they were limited to one goal. Additionally, in 5 of their last 7 home meetings against Genoa in the league, the Neapolitans scored no more than twice.
While Genoa doesn't often succeed away, Patrick Vieira's side fights for results until the end, focusing on a counter-attacking strategy. The team has not conceded more than one goal in 11 of their last 13 away Serie A matches, and on five occasions during this period, they kept a clean sheet. Moreover, during this stretch, the club has restricted opponents like Inter, Juventus, and AC Milan to no more than one goal.
I do not expect the hosts to take excessive risks in such an important match, so I do not anticipate a high-scoring game from them. My prediction: Napoli individual total under 2
* Each team's lineup reflects their starting XI in their previous match in this tournament.
