Match stats

Logo Atletico Madrid Logo Barcelona
34 Ball possession (%) 66
7 Goal attempts 13
2 Shots on Goal 6
4 Shots off Goal 6
1 Blocked shots 1

Atlético Madrid vs Barcelona: prediction & betting odds 16 March 2025

The La Liga Matchday 28 encounter between Atletico Madrid and Barcelona will be held on March 16 at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano stadium. Atletico Madrid vs. Barcelona: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Atletico Madrid

The Madrid side suffered their second defeat in the championship this calendar year in the previous round, both times against opponents from the lower half of the table. Playing away, the club lost 0-1 to Getafe, having led during the match, and conceded both goals after the 88th minute. Diego Simeone's men have dropped to third place but are only one point behind the top two leaders. Additionally, Atletico remains the best defensive team in La Liga, having conceded just 18 goals.

  • In the last 11 matches in La Liga, Atletico has conceded more than one goal only once.
  • No more than two goals have been scored in 7 of Atletico's last 9 league matches.
  • The team has won the second half in 11 of their last 14 home matches in La Liga.

Predicted lineup for Atletico Madrid (4-3-3)

Jan Oblak – Nahuel Molina, Jose Maria Gimenez, Javi Galan, Robin Le Normand – Marcos Llorente, Rodrigo De Paul, Samuel Lino – Antoine Griezmann, Julian Alvarez, Giuliano Simeone.

Forward Angel Correa will miss the match due to a five-match suspension.

Barcelona

The Catalans easily dispatched Real Sociedad in their last match, defeating the San Sebastian side 4-0 at home. This victory allowed them to top the league table. Barcelona missed the last round due to a tragedy within the club, and now Carlo Ancelotti's team has caught up with them on points, although the Madrid side has played one more game. It is also worth noting that Barcelona has significantly outpaced their nearest rival in terms of goals scored (by 14 goals).

  • The club's winning streak in La Liga stands at six matches.
  • Barcelona has opened the scoring in their last eight La Liga matches.
  • The Catalans have scored at least two goals in 16 of their last 18 away league matches.

Predicted lineup for Barcelona (4-3-3)

Wojciech Szczesny – Jules Kounde, Gerard Martin, Ronald Araujo, Alex Balde – Marc Casado, Pedri, Dani Olmo – Lamine Yamal, Raphinha Dias, Robert Lewandowski.

Match Prediction: Atletico Madrid vs. Barcelona

Both teams will be coming off tough Champions League Round of 16 matches, which will affect the players' freshness. This will also impact the teams' scoring abilities. Furthermore, both clubs will be striving to avoid losing to their closest competitor in the race for the top spot in the league, as a defeat would drop them to third place and allow Real Madrid to capitalize on their slip.

I predict that there will be no more than three goals in this game. Such scoring has occurred in 18 of the last 20 league meetings between these teams. Moreover, in 6 of the last 7 league encounters at Atletico's home ground, a maximum of two goals were scored. I am confident that Atletico, with the best defense in the league, can contain the best attack in La Liga and the Champions League. Additionally, no more than two goals have been scored in Atletico's last six home league matches.

My prediction: Total under 3.5 goals

Betting tips 16 March 2025

Atlético Madrid and Barcelona are locked in a tight title race, with the Catalans currently leading the table and looking to extend their advantage. Despite Atlético Madrid’s recent slip-up against Getafe, they remain just one point off the top.

Defensive frailties have started to emerge for Atlético Madrid, conceding six goals in their last seven matches—nearly a third of their total for the season. Their worst defensive display came in the last round, where they suffered a shocking 1:2 defeat to Getafe, conceding twice after the 88th minute. However, their attack remains potent, with 44 league goals (5th-best in La Liga). At the Wanda Metropolitano, Atlético Madrid remain unbeaten and have found the net in 13 of their 14 home matches. The attacking trio of Antoine Griezmann, Julián Álvarez, and Alexander Sørloth have combined for 28 league goals.

Barcelona boast La Liga’s best attack, with 71 goals this season. Robert Lewandowski and Raphinha Dias have been particularly prolific, netting 34 goals between them, with the Polish striker leading the league’s scoring charts. Barcelona have won six consecutive matches but have struggled defensively away from home, conceding in six of their last seven away fixtures.

Both teams come into this match after gruelling Champions League ties, meaning defensive lapses are likely, but their attacking quality should still shine through. Atlético and Barcelona have already exchanged goals in both of their previous meetings this season, with the Madrid side avoiding defeat in both encounters.

Betting prediction
Both Teams to Score – Yes
Cf
Odds
1/2
Bet now

Atlético Madrid vs Barcelona Odds

La Liga: previous matches in the tournament

Atlético Madrid
09.03.25
Getafe
Atlético Madrid
L
01.03.25
Atlético Madrid
Athletic Bilbao
W
22.02.25
Valencia
Atlético Madrid
W
15.02.25
Atlético Madrid
Celta
D
08.02.25
Real Madrid
Atlético Madrid
D
01.02.25
Atlético Madrid
Mallorca
W
25.01.25
Atlético Madrid
Villarreal
D
18.01.25
Leganés
Atlético Madrid
L
12.01.25
Atlético Madrid
Osasuna
W
21.12.24
Barcelona
Atlético Madrid
W
15.12.24
Atlético Madrid
Getafe
W
08.12.24
Atlético Madrid
Sevilla
W
30.11.24
Valladolid
Atlético Madrid
W
23.11.24
Atlético Madrid
Alavés
W
10.11.24
Mallorca
Atlético Madrid
W
03.11.24
Atlético Madrid
Las Palmas
W
27.10.24
Real Betis
Atlético Madrid
L
20.10.24
Atlético Madrid
Leganés
W
06.10.24
Real Sociedad
Atlético Madrid
D
29.09.24
Atlético Madrid
Real Madrid
D
26.09.24
Celta
Atlético Madrid
W
22.09.24
Rayo Vallecano
Atlético Madrid
D
15.09.24
Atlético Madrid
Valencia
W
31.08.24
Athletic Bilbao
Atlético Madrid
W
28.08.24
Atlético Madrid
Espanyol
D
25.08.24
Atlético Madrid
Girona
W
19.08.24
Villarreal
Atlético Madrid
D
More matches
Barcelona
02.03.25
Barcelona
Real Sociedad
W
22.02.25
Las Palmas
Barcelona
W
17.02.25
Barcelona
Rayo Vallecano
W
09.02.25
Sevilla
Barcelona
W
02.02.25
Barcelona
Alavés
W
26.01.25
Barcelona
Valencia
W
18.01.25
Getafe
Barcelona
D
21.12.24
Barcelona
Atlético Madrid
L
15.12.24
Barcelona
Leganés
L
07.12.24
Real Betis
Barcelona
D
03.12.24
Mallorca
Barcelona
W
30.11.24
Barcelona
Las Palmas
L
23.11.24
Celta
Barcelona
D
10.11.24
Real Sociedad
Barcelona
L
03.11.24
Barcelona
Espanyol
W
26.10.24
Real Madrid
Barcelona
W
20.10.24
Barcelona
Sevilla
W
06.10.24
Alavés
Barcelona
W
28.09.24
Osasuna
Barcelona
L
25.09.24
Barcelona
Getafe
W
22.09.24
Villarreal
Barcelona
W
15.09.24
Girona
Barcelona
W
31.08.24
Barcelona
Valladolid
W
27.08.24
Rayo Vallecano
Barcelona
W
24.08.24
Barcelona
Athletic Bilbao
W
17.08.24
Valencia
Barcelona
W
More matches

H2H: Atlético Madrid — Barcelona

Copa del Rey 2024-2025
25.02.25
Barcelona
Atlético Madrid
La Liga 2024-2025
21.12.24
Barcelona
Atlético Madrid
La Liga 2023-2024
17.03.24
Atlético Madrid
Barcelona
03.12.23
Barcelona
Atlético Madrid
La Liga 2022-2023
23.04.23
Barcelona
Atlético Madrid
08.01.23
Atlético Madrid
Barcelona
La Liga 2021-2022
06.02.22
Barcelona
Atlético Madrid
02.10.21
Atlético Madrid
Barcelona
La Liga 2020-2021
08.05.21
Barcelona
Atlético Madrid
21.11.20
Atlético Madrid
Barcelona
La Liga 2019-2020
30.06.20
Barcelona
Atlético Madrid
Super Cup Spain 2020
09.01.20
Barcelona
Atlético Madrid
La Liga 2019-2020
01.12.19
Atlético Madrid
Barcelona
La Liga 2018-2019
06.04.19
Barcelona
Atlético Madrid
24.11.18
Atlético Madrid
Barcelona
La Liga 2017-2018
04.03.18
Barcelona
Atlético Madrid
14.10.17
Atlético Madrid
Barcelona
La Liga 2016-2017
26.02.17
Atlético Madrid
Barcelona
21.09.16
Barcelona
Atlético Madrid
Champions League 2015-2016
13.04.16
Atlético Madrid
Barcelona
05.04.16
Barcelona
Atlético Madrid
La Liga 2015-2016
30.01.16
Barcelona
Atlético Madrid
12.09.15
Atlético Madrid
Barcelona
La Liga 2014-2015
17.05.15
Atlético Madrid
Barcelona
11.01.15
Barcelona
Atlético Madrid
La Liga 2013-2014
16.05.14
Barcelona
Atlético Madrid
1
:
1
Champions League 2013-2014
09.04.14
Atlético Madrid
Barcelona
1
:
0
01.04.14
Barcelona
Atlético Madrid
1
:
1
La Liga 2013-2014
10.01.14
Atlético Madrid
Barcelona
0
:
0
Super Cup Spain 2012-2013
28.08.13
Barcelona
Atlético Madrid
0
:
0
21.08.13
Atlético Madrid
Barcelona
1
:
1
La Liga 2012-2013
11.05.13
Atlético Madrid
Barcelona
1
:
2
15.12.12
Barcelona
Atlético Madrid
4
:
1
La Liga 2011-2012
25.02.12
Atlético Madrid
Barcelona
1
:
2
23.09.11
Barcelona
Atlético Madrid
5
:
0
La Liga 2010-2011
04.02.11
Barcelona
Atlético Madrid
3
:
0
18.09.10
Atlético Madrid
Barcelona
1
:
2
La Liga 2009-2010
13.02.10
Atlético Madrid
Barcelona
2
:
1
18.09.09
Barcelona
Atlético Madrid
5
:
2
La Liga 2008-2009
28.02.09
Atlético Madrid
Barcelona
4
:
3
03.10.08
Barcelona
Atlético Madrid
6
:
1
La Liga 2007-2008
29.02.08
Atlético Madrid
Barcelona
4
:
2
06.10.07
Barcelona
Atlético Madrid
3
:
0
La Liga 2006-2007
19.05.07
Atlético Madrid
Barcelona
0
:
6
20.12.06
Barcelona
Atlético Madrid
1
:
1
La Liga 2005-2006
04.02.06
Barcelona
Atlético Madrid
1
:
3
17.09.05
Atlético Madrid
Barcelona
2
:
1
La Liga 2004-2005
05.02.05
Barcelona
Atlético Madrid
0
:
2
18.09.04
Atlético Madrid
Barcelona
1
:
1
More matches

Tables

Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Barcelona
38 28 4 6 102:39 88
2
Real Madrid
38 26 6 6 78:38 84
3
Atlético Madrid
38 22 10 6 68:30 76
4
Athletic Bilbao
38 19 13 6 54:29 70
5
Villarreal
38 20 10 8 71:51 70
6
Real Betis
38 16 12 10 57:50 60
7
Celta
38 16 7 15 59:57 55
8
Rayo Vallecano
38 13 13 12 41:45 52
9
Osasuna
38 12 16 10 48:52 52
10
Mallorca
38 13 9 16 35:44 48
11
Real Sociedad
38 13 7 18 35:46 46
12
Valencia
38 11 13 14 44:54 46
13
Getafe
38 11 9 18 34:39 42
14
Espanyol
38 11 9 18 40:51 42
15
Alavés
38 10 12 16 38:48 42
16
Girona
38 11 8 19 44:60 41
17
Sevilla
38 10 11 17 42:55 41
18
Leganés
38 9 13 16 39:56 40
19
Las Palmas
38 8 8 22 40:61 32
20
Valladolid
38 4 4 30 26:90 16
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Real Madrid
19 16 1 2 45:19 49
2
Atlético Madrid
19 14 4 1 42:15 46
3
Barcelona
19 14 1 4 52:20 43
4
Athletic Bilbao
19 11 6 2 32:13 39
5
Celta
19 11 3 5 32:21 36
6
Osasuna
19 10 6 3 33:23 36
7
Villarreal
19 9 7 3 43:27 34
8
Real Betis
19 9 7 3 32:21 34
9
Valencia
19 9 4 6 26:20 31
10
Espanyol
19 8 6 5 23:20 30
11
Real Sociedad
19 8 3 8 20:20 27
12
Mallorca
19 7 6 6 20:21 27
13
Rayo Vallecano
19 6 8 5 24:26 26
14
Leganés
19 7 4 8 23:27 25
15
Girona
19 7 3 9 27:30 24
16
Alavés
19 6 6 7 14:17 24
17
Sevilla
19 6 6 7 17:23 24
18
Getafe
19 4 7 8 15:19 19
19
Las Palmas
19 4 5 10 21:29 17
20
Valladolid
19 3 4 12 11:32 13
Team Played W D L Goals Points Form
1
Barcelona
19 14 3 2 50:19 45
2
Villarreal
19 11 3 5 28:24 36
3
Real Madrid
19 10 5 4 33:19 35
4
Athletic Bilbao
19 8 7 4 22:16 31
5
Atlético Madrid
19 8 6 5 26:15 30
6
Rayo Vallecano
19 7 5 7 17:19 26
7
Real Betis
19 7 5 7 25:29 26
8
Getafe
19 7 2 10 19:20 23
9
Mallorca
19 6 3 10 15:23 21
10
Celta
19 5 4 10 27:36 19
11
Real Sociedad
19 5 4 10 15:26 19
12
Alavés
19 4 6 9 24:31 18
13
Sevilla
19 4 5 10 25:32 17
14
Girona
19 4 5 10 17:30 17
15
Osasuna
19 2 10 7 15:29 16
16
Las Palmas
19 4 3 12 19:32 15
17
Leganés
19 2 9 8 16:29 15
18
Valencia
19 2 9 8 18:34 15
19
Espanyol
19 3 3 13 17:31 12
20
Valladolid
19 1 0 18 15:58 3

Team lineups

Atlético Madrid

D. Simeone
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Jan Oblak
gk. 27 -22
Reinildo Mandava
df. 18 0
Robin Le Normand
df. 18 0
Clément Lenglet
df. 16 1
Rodrigo De Paul
mf. 26 3
Samuel Dias Lino
mf. 24 3
Marcos Llorente
mf. 23 2
Pablo Barrios Rivas
mf. 21 0
Antoine Griezmann
fw. 28 8
Julián Alvarez
fw. 28 11
Giuliano Simeone Baldini
fw. 23 1
Substitutes
Juan Musso
gk. 1 0
Antonio Gomis Alemañ
gk. 0 0
José María Giménez
df. 22 0
Nahuel Molina Lucero
df. 21 0
Javi Galán
df. 17 0
Axel Witsel
df. 12 0
César Azpilicueta
df. 8 0
Conor Gallagher
mf. 22 2
Rodrigo Riquelme
mf. 12 0
Tom Lemaire
mf. 2 0
Alexander Sorloth
fw. 25 11
Barcelona

H. Flick
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Wojciech Szczęsny
gk. 7 -4
Jules Kounde
df. 27 2
Pau Cubarsí Paredes
df. 27 0
Alejandro Balde Martínez
df. 24 0
Iñigo Martínez
df. 21 0
Pedro González López
mf. 26 4
Marc Casadó Torras
mf. 23 1
Dani Olmo
mf. 17 6
Raphinha
fw. 27 13
Robert Lewandowski
fw. 26 22
Lamine Yamal Nasraoui Ebana
fw. 24 6
Substitutes
Iñaki Peña
gk. 15 -18
Diego Kochen
gk. 0 0
Eric García
df. 18 1
Gerard Martín Langreo
df. 17 1
Héctor Fort García
df. 12 0
Ronald Federico Araujo da Silva
df. 5 1
Fermín López Marín
mf. 17 3
Pablo Páez Gavira
mf. 15 0
Pablo Torre Carral
mf. 8 3
Ferrán Torres
fw. 20 7
Pau Víctor Delgado
fw. 15 2
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